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Reluctance to guess against (hedge) desired results.[fifty nine] persons are reluctant to bet in opposition to wished-for results which have been applicable to their identification. Gamblers show reluctance to wager towards the results in their most well-liked U.S. presidential candidates and important League Baseball, National Football League, National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) basketball, and NCAA hockey teams. in excess of 45% of NCAA lovers in Studies five and 6, As an example, turned down a "cost-free" genuine $5 wager towards their crew. From a psychological point of view, such a "hedge" generates an interdependence dilemma – a motivational conflict in between a brief-time period monetary acquire as well as the extensive-expression Added benefits accrued from thoughts of identification with and loyalty to a position, man or woman, or group whom the bettor dreams to realize success.
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Optimism/Desirability Bias. Gamblers also show optimism, overestimating the probability that wanted situations will happen. enthusiasts of NFL underdog teams, one example is, will choose to guess on their teams at even odds than to bet on the favorite, whether or not the guess is $5 or $fifty.[fifty eight]
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